Today's NBA best bets, odds, exp stephen curry jersey warriors ert picks, player props: Nuggets vs. Warriors, more
The first round of the 2022 NBA playoffs starts with a full slate of four games. Before you stephen curry jersey place any bets on the Jazz-Mavericks, Timberwolves-Grizzlies, Raptors-76ers, or Nuggets-Warriors, BetQL is here to help with tips, advice, and breakdowns of the odds, key betting trends, and
(SN/Getty) Bojan Bogdanovic (L), Joel Embiid (M), Draymond Green (R)
The first round of the 2022 NBA playoffs starts with a full slate of four games. Before you place any bets on the Jazz-Mavericks, Timberwolves-Grizzlies, Raptors-76ers, or Nuggets-Warriors, BetQL is here to help with tips, advice, and breakdowns of the odds, key betting trends, and expert picks.
One major trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model closed the regular season strong, going 158-92 (63 percent) on all picks rated two stars (out of five) and higher in the final seven days. That includes a ridiculous 16-4 (80 percent) on spread picks rated two stars and higher over the final three days of the season for a total return of $1,055 on $100 bets!
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game, so sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!
NBA Playoffs: Best b stephen curry jersey patch ets, odds, expert picks, & betting trends for Saturday
Odds in this article are subject to change.
LATEST NBA BETTING TRENDS: Odds | Over/Unders | Expert picks
Jazz (-4.5) at Mavericks, O/U 214.5
Trends: This game comes down to Luka Doncic's status, plain and simple. Doncic is dealing with a left calf strain, and the team has given no timetable for his return. Monitor that before anything else. You also might want to jump on the Jazz to cover now because if Doncic does end up missing the game, that spread is going to widen significantly.
Here's an interesting trend BetQL has for this one that would benefit the Mavs if Doncic does play: Utah is just 3-14 ATS on the road against teams averaging at least 23 assists per game in the second half of the season. Dallas averaged 23.4 assists per game during the regular season, but if you're missing that 8.7 from Doncic, this is a totally different Dallas team.
It's safer to lean toward Utah if you want a side given that Doncic playing hobbled won't help Dallas' situation much even if he's able to go.
Top Player Prop: Bojan Bogdanovic 20+ Points (+142 at FanDuel). Bogdanovic had 21 and 27 points in his past two regular-season games and hit that total 30 times during the regular season. He also shot over 52 percent on 15 shots in those games, so efficiency is also part of the mix, and he doesn't need a ton of looks to hit this number. All eyes will be on Donovan Mitchell, l Jayson Tatum eaving a chance for Bogdanovic to get a solid amount of touches.
BetQL Staff Pick: Jazz-Mavericks UNDER 214.5. The UNDER has gone an insane 29-11-1 (72.5 percent) in Mavericks home games this season, the highest rate in the NBA, and since Luka Doncic (calf) remains without a timetable to return, we have to operate with the assumption that he will be out for Game 1. With that being said, Spencer Dinwiddie and Jalen Brunson could be thrust into more high-usage roles than usual to make up for Doncic’s absence. If Doncic does find a way to suit up, he definitely won’t be at 100 percent. Oh, and the UNDER has hit 60 percent of the time (24-16) in Jazz road games this season, the second-highest rate in the NBA. While it may seem scary to bet under 214.5 in today’s NBA, these teams play slow, they play defense, and they could very well exert more energy on that end of the court in a playoff atmosphere. That's why this is one of BetQL's best bets for Saturday's slate. — Dan Karpuc
Timberwolves at Grizzlies (-6.5), O/U 234.5
Trends: The Grizzlies continue to be looked at as a dark horse to win the West, and some are even going as far as taking them to win the title. The fact that they were able to go 20-5 SU without Ja Morant during the regular season is more a testament to the rest of the talent on that roster than it is to the lame "he's overrated" takes.
The Grizzlies are a good team without Morant and much better when he's on the floor, plain and simple. He's still working his way back from a right knee injury and technically day-to-day, but unlike the Mavs and the Luka situation, this can still be looked at as whether Morant is 100 percent. BetQL points out that the Grizzlies are 23-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. That trend is simple and to the point, and just another example of how good Memphis is. An interesting thing to keep in mind, though, is the fact that the Timberwolves are 22-11 ATS when the total is at least 230 this season.
BetQL Staff Pick: Timberwolves-Grizzlies UNDER 234.5. This is one of BetQL's best bets Saturday, which is significant because the NBA model closed the regular season strong, going 158-92 (63 percent) on all picks rated two stars and higher in the final seven days (and this pick is definitely higher than two stars). BetQL also points out that the total, which opened at 235, saw early sharp action on the UNDER, hinting that the pros are betting the UNDER, as well. Ride the hot hand of BetQL and side with the pros on the UNDER here. — Brad Pinkerton
Raptors at 76ers (-4.5), O/U 216.5
Trends: These are two teams with very different expectations heading into the playoffs. Toronto overachieved under Nick Nurse, who once again has shown why he's one of the best coaches in the NBA. The Sixers have NBA Championship dreams, or at least hopes of winning the East, with their new-look roster — and there's tons of pressure to go with it.
BetQL has a ton of trends just for the first-half line alone in this game (Phi -2.5), but one that helps make a Philly first-half stephen curry jersey xxl cover a strong lean comes down to the fact that, in the second half of the season, the 76ers went 16-6 against the first-half spread when playing teams with a winning record. They find ways to get out and push teams early, and with that scoring punch of James Harden and Joel Embiid, there's a chance for that again in Game 1.
BetQL Staff Pick: 76ers -4.5. The 76ers have covered two of their past three spreads Kyrie Irving at home and three of their past five spreads as the home favorite. BetQL points out a trend that is certainly in their favor in this spot: Philly is 11-1 ATS after three or more consecutive OVERs while at home over the past three years, and the 76ers hit the OVER in five straight home games to close the regular season. With this trend in their favor, expe rainbow warrior jersey ct the 76ers to handle this spread against the Raptors. — Lucy Burdge
Top Player Prop Bet: Joel Embiid OVER 37.5 Points+Assists (-104 at FanDuel). Embiid has been a monster down the stretch, making a last-ditch effort to overtake Nikola Jokic as the MVP favorite. Over his past four games, Embiid averaged 40 points to go along with almost three assists a game. It's more than reasonable to think Embiid can surpass this total with his points alone, with three of those past four games going OVER 40.
Top Player Prop Bet: Pascal Siakam To Record A Double-Double (-115 at FanDuel). Siakam has double-doubled in six of his past seven games, averaging 27.7 points and 11 rebounds while adding 6.7 assists over that stretch. Now, if you'r NBA iPhone Accessoriese comfortable taking a bigger risk for a much bigger return, you can also bet on Siakam upping those assist numbers and get him at +2300 to have a triple-double, something he did twice during the regular season.
LATEST NBA BETTING TRENDS: Odds | Over/Unders | Expert picks
Nuggets at Warriors (-5), O/U 223
Trends: This has the potential to be the most exciting first-round matchup in the West, but there's still plenty of questions about health on both rosters.
Steph Curry continues to make progress in his recovery from a left foot injury and might return to full team practices soon, but his availability for Game 1 is still up in the air. Meanwhile, Denver got word that they likely won't have Jamal Murray (left knee) for the playoffs, and Michael Porter Jr. (back) is looking doubtful, as well, leaving MVP favorite Nikola Jokic to once again shoulder the heavy load against Golden State.
According to BetQL, the Nuggets are 13-4 ATS in a road game where the total is at least 220 this season, but they also went just 4-6 ATS over their past 10 games overall. The stephen curry jersey warriors Warriors, meanwhile, went 6-4 ATS over that same span while also covering in four of their past five, making Golden State -5 a solid lean to lead off the series.
BetQL Staff Pick: Nuggets-Warriors UNDER 223. NBA Tank Tops The Warriors are almost 100-percent Klay Thompson healthy, which means their defense should be close to full strength heading into the postseason. Even with key players missing significant time during the regular season, Golden State hit the UNDER more than 56 percent of the time (35-45 O/U nba jerseys for kids stephen curry ), including 15-24 O/U at home, 24-36 O/U as the favorite, and 15-21 O/U as the home favorite. It should be noted that the majority of those "UNDERs" came with a healthy Draymond Green in the lineup along with Klay Thompson and/or Steph Curry, who’s now expected to suit up for Game 1. With those three finally healthy, expect the Warriors’ defense to slow the pace of the game against Denver. – Brad Pinkerton
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including NBA player props, with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!